
The Rising Success of Populist Parties: Europe Must Prepare Differently
The Rising Success of Populist Parties: Europe Must Prepare Differently
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) has emerged as the largest party in two eastern German state elections. It won 43.8% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September and, according to provisional results, 38.2% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania on 20 September. These results deserve attention well beyond Germany.
France faces a presidential election in 2027, and it is far from the only European country confronting questions about political polarisation, public trust and the integrity of electoral debate. The German results are a reminder that preparation for the next election must begin long before the campaign’s final weeks.
We should be careful about what these results tell us. Voters have many reasons for their choices, and there is no basis for claiming that disinformation caused the AfD’s victories. But we cannot ignore the environment in which citizens form their opinions: one where misleading claims, hate speech and attacks on public figures can spread quickly and where AI makes convincing false content easier to produce.
Our reflections through AI4DEBUNK have reinforced a practical lesson. Technology can help people check content and identify manipulation, but useful tools must respond to the needs of the people who will use them. Exchanges with journalists, researchers, policymakers and citizens have also underlined the importance of trust, accessible information and cooperation across sectors.
This means preparing elections differently in three ways.
First, monitor the information environment throughout the electoral cycle. Researchers, journalists, civil society and electoral authorities need ways to detect emerging disinformation, investigate its spread and communicate verified information promptly. Monitoring should be transparent, evidence based and respectful of legitimate political expression.
Second, take hate speech and intimidation seriously. Candidates, elected representatives, journalists and community leaders must be able to participate in public debate without facing sustained abuse or threats. When people are pushed out of that debate, voters lose voices and perspectives too.
Third, strengthen democratic institutions and the people who serve in them. Electoral authorities need resources to explain how voting works and respond to false claims. Elected representatives need support to engage with citizens, address concerns and rebuild trust between elections. Independent media and local organisations need the capacity to ask difficult questions and reach communities that national campaigns may overlook.
These questions also inform the proposed DIGI-TRUST project, which is awaiting evaluation. Its ambition is to examine threats to electoral integrity and develop practical responses with partners across Europe. The urgency of that work is clear, whatever the proposal’s outcome.
The response to the success of populist parties cannot be confined to an election night or a fact-check after a falsehood has gone viral. It requires sustained attention to citizens’ concerns, stronger public institutions and an information space in which people can make choices freely and with confidence. Europe’s next elections are already approaching. We should prepare for them now.
Pascaline Gaborit

Resilient Cities, Competitive Finland: Strengthening Urban Capabilities for Strategic Autonomy and Comprehensive Security
We are pleased to contribute to an upcoming pre-event webinar for the European Urban Initiative (EUI) Capacity Building Event.
📅 28 April 2026
🕒 13:30–15:30 CET / 14:30–16:30 EET
Theme: Resilient Cities, Competitive Finland: Strengthening Urban Capabilities for Strategic Autonomy and Comprehensive Security
This session brings together European and national perspectives on:
🔹 Geopolitics and comprehensive security
🔹 Strategic innovation in EU cities
🔹 Energy transition, defence, and resilience priorities
🔹 Practical insights from Finland, including Oulu
It’s a great opportunity for policymakers, city practitioners, and stakeholders to exchange on how urban systems can strengthen resilience in a rapidly changing geopolitical context.
👉 Join the webinar here:
https://us06web.zoom.us/j/86805185420?pwd=pCk48aSnlaaIU68M1Xa0XCvi6HwFHz.1
Looking forward to the discussions and shared learning!
#ResilientCities #UrbanPolicy #EUI #CapacityBuilding #Security #Innovation #Geopolitics #AI4DEBUNK

AI4DEBUNK Interview online
Information about the AI4DEBUNK project...What do we do? What are the first findings and information? Look at our latest interview
From Critical Thinking to Media Literacy
From Critical Thinking to Media Literacy
Pascaline Gaborit and Joen Martinsen
Critical thinking plays a crucial role in countering “fake news” and disinformation, especially when other institutions fail to address these issues. Trust in the media is important and is built on the expectation of reliable and trustworthy information. However, trust can be dysfunctional in building resilience against disinformation. While citizens often expect journalists to tackle disinformation, we cannot solely rely on the media to act as watchdogs against these threats. In the post-truth era, blind trust is inappropriate, and a degree of skepticism is necessary. Although trust in the media is valuable, blind faith can decrease resilience to misinformation. Lower media legitimacy and trust are associated with greater resistance to misinformation. Citizens who approach the media with pragmatic skepticism are more resilient to misinformation. To prevent outright distrust of traditional media, the media should be more transparent about their sources, potential biases, and methods. This transparency would allow citizens to critically assess the information provided, fostering a pragmatic skepticism. By increasing transparency, the media can encourage critical thinking while maintaining fundamental trust in legacy media.
Critical thinking involves self-regulation, monitoring and controlling our emotional biases. This ability helps individuals enhance their cognitive skills and reduce emotional biases. Recent research has found that anger and anxiety are emotions that could lower our belief accuracy, give more partisan tendencies, which makes individuals more vulnerable to believing in disinformation. Self-regulation could particularly in politically divisive topics reduce our vulnerability to misinformation.
In today’s social media environment, polarization fosters the creation of “filter bubbles.” Personalized content reinforces users’ existing beliefs and worldviews, reducing their openness to alternative perspectives or counterarguments. This dynamic also influences voting behavior. An increasing number of young people rely exclusively on social media for news, making them particularly susceptible to the effects of these “filter bubbles.
Moreover, artificial intelligence is also affected, since algorithmic biases may restrict critical analysis and reinforce users’ pre-existing biases. Both these issues underscore the importance of self-regulating our emotions as a part of our critical thinking skills and minimize the power of anger and fear when consuming news online. Future research on critical thinking should place greater emphasis on the role of self-regulation and the ability to assess information independently of one’s emotions, an aspect that grows increasingly important with the rising use of social media and its potential influence on electoral behavior.
Found out more here in our summary deliverable: Fake News Critical Thinking and Media literacy
Securing Europe: Responding to Hybrid Threats Amid a Defense Resurgence
By Joen Martinsen and Pascaline Gaborit
Europe’s security landscape has undergone profound changes in the early months of 2025. Provocative remarks from the new U.S. administration—such as Trump’s assertion that Ukraine should never have started the war—and high-profile events like President Zelensky’s visit to the Oval Office and JD Vance’s stirring speech at the Munich Conference have intensified these shifts. At the same time, U.S. officials have amplified Russian disinformation and repeatedly threatened to withdraw critical military and nuclear resources from Europe. Rather than simply expressing indifference to European concerns, the current U.S. leadership appears intent on reshaping the continent—sowing internal divisions, influencing elections, and igniting culture wars—in pursuit of individual bilateral deals rather than a united European alliance. This approach, eerily reminiscent of Russian tactics, is sending shock waves through the post–World War II European security order and has sparked calls for a new era of European defense.
With the U.S. President repeatedly questioning America’s commitment to NATO’s security guarantees, European leaders are now forced to ask: Can Europe continue to rely on American protection in an era of shifting alliances? The challenge is not limited to traditional military threats; modern warfare presents a complex array of dangers—from cyberattacks and the sabotage of critical infrastructures like internet submarine cables to the disruption of navigation and communication systems such as GPS. Public support for increased military spending and deeper European defense cooperation is high today, but as the sense of immediate crisis fades, so too might that support.
Therefore, European leaders must act decisively—not only by bolstering military capacity but by integrating systems, strategies, and policies to address the multifaceted threats they face. Hybrid threats, which blur the lines between military and non-military aggression, pose an escalating risk. Europe must develop coordinated, proactive responses that cover everything from safeguarding its digital and energy infrastructures to countering disinformation campaigns. Despite the continent’s robust interconnectivity, the absence of a unified strategy to protect these assets leaves Europe vulnerable. The time has come for a comprehensive European approach to defense—one that ensures rapid, coordinated action against the emerging grey zone threats of the 21st century.
The USAID Shutdown: Impacts and Questions
By Joen Martinsen and Pascaline Gaborit
In a sweeping effort to slash the U.S. budget deficit, the Trump administration, along with the unofficial Department of Government Expenditure (DOGE) led by Elon Musk, has moved to dismantle USAID—placing nearly all employees on leave and freezing foreign aid programs. In an unprecedented act of executive overreach, security personnel blocked agency staff from accessing their offices, plunging billions in foreign aid into uncertainty and bringing critical humanitarian efforts to an abrupt halt.
A federal judge has issued a temporary restraining order, ruling that the dissolution of USAID contradicts the Constitution and falls within the Congress' authority. However, the dismantling remains in effect pending a final court decision. Having already relied on disinformation to justify the move, the administration’s actions pose a pressing question: what are the limits of Disinformation-Driven Governance?
DeepSeek AI Model : Opportunity or Risk?
By Joen Martinsen and Pascaline Gaborit
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI chatbot, has rapidly gained traction, becoming the most downloaded free app in the U.S. shortly after its launch. Its R1 model, now open-source, claims to rival OpenAI’s O1 model in performance.
What sets DeepSeek apart is its lean budget—the development team asserts they achieved this milestone with less than $6 million, a fraction of the billions invested in AI by U.S. tech giants like OpenAI. A key factor in this breakthrough is its reliance on Nvidia H800 chips, which operate with reduced capacity, avoiding dependency on high-end Nvidia A100 chips, restricted due to U.S. export bans.
For perspective, OpenAI was founded a decade ago, employs 4,500 people, and has secured $6.6 billion in funding. In contrast, DeepSeek, established less than two years ago, operates with just 200 employees and was developed with a budget of under $10 million .
Does DeepSeek signal a new era of AI innovation or raise concerns over competition, security, and regulation?.
This accomplishment reflects broader implications in the global AI race, especially as the U.S. has implemented strict export controls targeting China’s access to advanced semiconductor. Restrictions include export bans on chips and chipmaking equipment since October 2023, and a first-of-its-kind prohibition on U.S. persons aiding Chinese chip development without a license. These measures aim to limit China's advancements in both AI and military modernization, and for the U.S to maintain technological supremacy. However, DeepSeek’s breakthroughs demonstrate that resourceful methods can counter such constraints, potentially diminishing the effectiveness of U.S. policies. While this raises questions about America's long-term strategic position, it also emphasizes the potential for less resource-intensive, climate-friendly AI innovations. This could be an opportunity for other companies to imitate this success, and this could be especially true as the developed system is shaped with open access .
DeepSeek-R1 is indeed an open-source AI model. The company has released it under the MIT license, ensuring clear open access for the community to utilize and build upon its model weights and outputs. This open-source approach allows developers worldwide to modify and integrate the model into various applications, promoting innovation and collaboration in the AI community. Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, has commented on DeepSeek's significance. In a recent op-ed, he stated that DeepSeek's emergence marks "a turning point" in the global AI race.
Climate Denialism: Disinformation in an Era of Apathy
By: Joen Martinsen
Americans are being buried under an avalanche of misinformation and disinformation, enabling the abuse of power. The free press is crumbling. The truth is smothered by lies told for power and profit. It erodes a sense of unity and common purpose. It causes distrust and divisions. Participating in our democracy becomes exhausting and even disillusioning.
These sobering words, delivered by Joe Biden during his final message as the president of the United States, stand as a critique of the disinformation eroding trust in democracy and decision-making. As Donald Trump returns to power, this relentless onslaught of “alternative facts” creates a deeply unsettling backdrop for pressing global challenges—especially the climate crisis.
The Normalization of Climate Denialism
Climate denialism, the systematic rejection or distortion of established scientific evidence on climate change, has become a pervasive force undermining global efforts to address one of the most pressing challenges of our time. It is no longer confined to fringe ideologies; it has entered the political mainstream, influencing policies, public opinion, and international cooperation. This shift, fueled by disinformation and anti-scientific rhetoric, erodes trust in institutions, weakens collective resolve, and delays urgently needed action.
Under Trump's leadership, climate denialism has been normalized, becoming an entrenched feature of political discourse. Policies such as the rollback of the Paris Agreement and the promotion of fossil fuel expansion under the slogan "Drill, baby, drill!" reflect a stark regression in global climate cooperation.
The parallels with historical episodes of disinformation, such as the rejection of Philipp Semmelweis’ life-saving discovery of antiseptic handwashing, are striking. Like the resistance faced by Semmelweis, climate denialism thrives on a combination of misinformation, institutional inertia, and vested interests. In both cases, the consequences of rejecting evidence-based knowledge are profound, with lives lost and opportunities to prevent disaster squandered. The spread of disinformation, amplified by digital platforms, undermines public trust in science, confuses the public, and creates an environment where inaction becomes the default response.
Report on Disaster Risks Management in Khorog now available
We are glad to share with you our Second report for the BRUD project on Disasters Risks Management. It presents the challenges of the city of Khorog, as well as international best practices. You can get a free copy by getting in contact with us.
Find out more about Pilot4dev Gender Equality Plan
The gender Equality plan of Pilot4dev, is an important document for the organization, and is regularly updated and signed by the top management.
Pilot4dev is indeed dedicated to the advancement of women's rights, and is promoting gender equality through research and projects.
Find out more GENDER_EQUALITY_PLAN.pdf.